Extension and Application of The Total Probability Formula and The Bayes Formula

Bayes' theorem describes relationship between pre test and post test probability.

贝叶斯公式反映验前概率与验后概率的关系。

A dynamic model of system is founded and employed to acquire prior PDF of survivability at current time, and then Bayesian formula is used to update the prior PDF on the basis of observed data and measurement model.

建立系统动态模型并获取系统在当前时刻生存性的先验PDF，然后在当前时刻观测值和观测似然模型的基础上，根据贝叶斯公式更新先验PDF。

Both the prior distribution and the likelihood function were assumed to be linear-normal distribution and they were integrated together to form a Bayesian posterior distribution, the mean values were treated as the finial results to issue flood warring and flood control decision-making.

根据贝叶斯公式综合得到后验分布函数，以其均值作为最终校正结果以发布洪水警报和防洪调度决策。

The Bayes ′ Formula on Fuzzy Event

模糊事件贝叶斯公式

In order to correctly evaluate the trophic state of a lake and then to establish scientific basis for the prevention of lake eutrophication, a lake eutrophication stochastic assessment method ( LESAM) by u-sing Bayesian formula is proposed.

为了准确评价湖泊所处的营养状态，进而为湖泊富营养化的防治提供科学依据，提出了基于贝叶斯公式的湖泊富营养化随机评价方法。

This paper integrate one software defects prediction model, using Bayes formula to analyze the affect factors which lead to result.

而本文结合一个具体的软件缺陷预测模型，利用贝叶斯公式对导致结果发生的影响因素进行了分析。

In order to overcome the shortcoming of conventional hydrologic analogy on choosing similar basin, a stochastic assessment method is developed and applied based on Bayes formula.

为了改进传统水文比拟法在相似流域选择上存在的不足，提出一种基于贝叶斯公式的随机分析方法。

The application of total probability formula and Bayes formula for sample space on which two disservements and these formulas of the sample space have proved.

讨论了样本空间有不同划分时全概公式和贝叶斯公式的应用方法，给出了样本空间有两种划分时全概公式和贝叶斯公式的证明。

A system was developed within this model employing a Bayesian formulation, specifically a β reputation system, for reputation representation, update and integration in wireless sensor networks.

模型中引用了贝叶斯公式来表示、更新和整合信誉，设计了一个基于β分布的无线传感器网络信誉系统。

In this paper, an efficient hierarchical method in image multilevel thresholding is proposed, which is based on the maximun entropy principle and Bayesian formula.

本文根据最大熵原则和贝叶斯公式，提出了一种针对图像多阈值分割的有效的分等级方法。

By means of touching the ball model, this paper gives the applied method of the three important formulas: multiplication, formula of holohedral probability and Bayes formula for having something to do with conditional probability in classical probability calculation, and enumerate the examples.

借助摸球模型，给出了在古典概率计算中与条件概率有关的三个重要公式：乘法公式、全概率公式和贝叶斯公式的应用方法，并且列举了具体的实例。

Now a key part to the Bayesian is this part of the formula.

那么贝叶斯公式里很关键的是这一项--预测。

An Anti-Spam E-mail Filtering Method Based on Bayesian

基于贝叶斯公式的垃圾邮件过滤方法

So the software requirement prediction model based on Bayes network is proposed and the Bayes formula is introduced to analyze the prediction result.

于是建立了基于Bayes网的软件需求质量预测模型，并用贝叶斯公式对出现的预测结果进行了分析。

Methods A method based on epidemiological theory and Bayes' theorem was established to measure the contribution of individual risk factor, using the relative risk ( RR) or odds ratio ( OR) value obtained from population-based cohort studies or meta-analysis.

方法运用贝叶斯公式，依据相关流行病学理论，建立由相对危险度数值等来测算单个危险因素对个体发病贡献权重的方法。

Software Defects Model Based on Bayes Formula

基于贝叶斯公式的软件缺陷模型研究

Firstly, the paper summarizes the developing mode of the power market at home and abroad and the developing experience of large consumers buying power directly, then introduces the application of Bayes formula in games of incomplete information.

总结了国内外电力市场的发展模式和大用户直购电发展经验并介绍贝叶斯公式在不完全信息博弈中的应用。

Total Probability Formula and Bayes Formula

全概公式与贝叶斯公式

This thesis displays the probability of Fuzzy event and it ′ s basic natures. By extending classical Bayes ′ formula, it is presented the Bayes ′ formula on Fuzzy event.

讨论了模糊事件的概率及其基本性质，并通过对经典贝叶斯公式的推广，提出了模糊事件的贝叶斯公式。

In addition, the general relation between the magnitude of an earthquake and the range of an anomalous deformation area, and the method for determining the probability of earthquake occurence in the risk area are discussed respectively.

讨论了震级与形变异常区范围的一般关系，最后讨论了按贝叶斯公式计算形变异常区发生地震概率的方法。